Category Archives: evil hat

Using Scenarios for Experiment Design

In the complex domain, cause and effect are only correlated in retrospect, and we cannot predict outcomes. We can see them and understand them in retrospect, but the complex domain is the domain of discovery and innovation. Expect the unexpected! … Continue reading

Posted in cynefin, evil hat, Uncategorized | 4 Comments

Disorder, or, How I Got a Black Eye

In the Cynefin framework, the Disorder domain is the one in the middle. It’s the state of not knowing what kind of causality exists. Over on the right we have the predictable domains of Simple and Complicated, and on the … Continue reading

Posted in complexity, cynefin, evil hat, real options, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Estimating Complexity

Over the last few years, teaching people the Cynefin framework early on in engagements has really helped me have useful conversations with my clients about when different processes are appropriate. There’s one phrase I use a lot, which is self-evident … Continue reading

Posted in capability red, complexity, cynefin, evil hat, real options | 16 Comments

The Evil Hat

You’ve got a problem. You want to measure, and improve, something about your project or people. You’ve got a good idea about how to do this. Perhaps the metric you want to use is already widely measured. Perhaps it’s been … Continue reading

Posted in breaking models, evil hat | 7 Comments